Zillow’s Climate Risk Gamble and Its Market Fallout
Zillow tried to warn buyers with climate risk scores but ended up disrupting deals. Here is what happened and what marketers can learn.

Article written by
Austin Carroll
When Zillow introduced climate risk scores on more than a million homes, the idea was straightforward: give buyers a clear look at potential climate challenges over the next twenty years. The scores covered flood risk, fire exposure, extreme heat, and air quality. The goal was transparency. The outcome was far more complicated.
Instead of simply informing buyers, Zillow unintentionally influenced the psychology of real estate decisions. Sellers and buyers soon felt the ripple effects.
When a Climate Score Becomes a Deal Breaker
One incident made the problem crystal clear. A Virginia homeowner was close to selling her property. A couple from California had already booked flights to view it. Then Zillow assigned the home a flood risk score of 7 out of 10. Neighboring homes had scores of 1 or 2.
The buyers canceled their trip immediately.
The deal collapsed.
The seller had no option to dispute the score.
This was not an isolated situation. Zillow’s ratings offered no context and no way to challenge them, which created a sense of finality that many sellers found frustrating.
The Market Data That Fueled the Backlash
Real estate networks quickly voiced concerns. One of the largest MLS groups in California warned that the scores could damage property values. The concern was not theoretical. Redfin studied the behavior of 18 million site users and found that displaying flood risk information changed buyer behavior in measurable ways.
Homes with higher risk labels tended to:
Sell more slowly
Close for about 1 percent less
Zillow’s own internal analysis confirmed this pattern. Homes flagged for potential fire or flood risk sat on the market longer, even when the risks were predictions rather than historical events.
This pressure led Zillow to reverse course. The scores disappeared from listings and were replaced with a simple link to First Street Foundation for anyone who wanted more details.
The Transparency Divide Across Real Estate Platforms
Zillow may have stepped back, but other platforms took different paths. Redfin, Realtor dot com, and Homes dot com continue to show climate data, although each offers different levels of seller control. Some allow homeowners to challenge or add context. Others do not.
This shift created a deeper industry divide. The central question now is how to deliver truthful information without scaring buyers or harming sellers in the process.
Why Context Matters More Than Raw Numbers
Zillow’s experiment revealed one truth. Data without context creates fear. That flood risk score of 7 might have been accurate from a scientific perspective, but it felt severe to buyers. And in both marketing and real estate, feelings often outweigh facts.
Key lessons for marketers:
Data needs explanation in order to build trust
People respond more to emotion than precision
The placement of information changes how it is interpreted
Transparency only works when it is designed to educate rather than alarm.
What Marketers Should Learn From Zillow’s Experience
Zillow set out to prepare buyers for the realities of climate change. Instead, it showed marketers, product teams, and communicators something else. Too much information without context can derail decisions.
Anyone responsible for communicating risk must learn how to inform without overwhelming. Whether the topic is climate change, finance, product safety, or compliance, the challenge is to deliver truth in a way that empowers rather than paralyzes.
Transparency is not about showing everything. It is about showing the right things with the right context.

Article written by
Austin Carroll

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